raptor fivethirtyeight. Filter or search to find players. raptor fivethirtyeight

 
 Filter or search to find playersraptor fivethirtyeight  So whatever the programmer told the computer to analyze, it did

The 2020-21 season marked his second-best season in defensive RAPTOR, FiveThirtyEight’s holistic performance stat. com * **ELO** - The ELO rating is a commonly used system to project outcomes from sporting events. 5 : Wins Above Replacement (FiveThirtyEight) Denver Nuggets 25. For more information, visit FiveThirtyEight. The Best NBA Players This Season, According To RAPTOR Our ratings, updated daily, use play-by-play and player-tracking data to calculate each player’s individual plus-minus measurements and wins. RAPTOR = FiveThirtyEight’s RAPTOR model, which uses play-by-play and player-tracking data to calculate each player’s individual plus-minus measurements and. 1 more wins. This dataset contains data behind the story Introducing RAPTOR, Our New Metric For The Modern NBA and the interactive The Best NBA Players This Season, According To RAPTOR. Interactives. The ratings were developed by FiveThirtyEight's Jay Boice, similar to the basic ratings for the NBA. January 25, 2023 6:00 AM Yes, 2023 Is An Election Year. Three players have separated themselves…What is FiveThirtyEight? FiveThirtyEight, otherwise known as 538, is a political analyst blog and polling site, which aims to predict election results. 12 richest NBA players of 2022 – net worths, ranked: from. I suspect their models are badly overfit. Here Are The. It's only four games, but so far Caris LeVert has been the best defensive player on the Cavs based on FiveThirtyEight's advanced stats, and good enough for #5 overall in the league. This folder contains data behind the story Introducing RAPTOR, Our New Metric For The Modern NBA and the interactive The Best NBA Players, According To RAPTOR. raptor_by_player raptor_by_team Format. com) +8. Most RAPTOR WAR by NBA rookies, 2019-20 regular season* Player Team Games Team WPCT Raptor WAR; Terence Davis: TOR: 57. Our projection system identifies similar players throughout NBA history and uses them to develop a probabilistic forecast of what a current NBA player’s future might. I did go through the top 100 in RAPTOR WAR from last year, plus an article listing 24 "rising stars" (to cover those projected to break out), so I should've gotten at least most of them. Excellent Condition. All posts tagged “RAPTOR”. he's 7th in the league in RAPTOR but tied for 2nd in RAPTOR WAR; he's 8th in LEBRON but tied for 3rd in LEBRON Wins Added; and he's 24th in BPM but 15th in VORP. Wins above replacement projections are based on a combination of regular-season and playoff performances and are scaled to an 82-game regular season. 4. FiveThirtyEight's forecasts and RAPTOR were ubiquitous among online NBA conversations over the last few years, for better or for worse. com * **ELO** - The ELO rating is a commonly used system to project outcomes from sporting events. In their second game of the 2019-20 season, the defending champion Toronto Raptors played the division rival Boston Celtics. 2020 Shortlist RAPTOR Category: Innovation (small and large newsrooms) Country/area: United States Organisation: FiveThirtyEight Organisation size: Small Publication date: 10 Oct 2019 Credit: Nate Silver, Jay Boice, Ryan Best, Ella Koeze Project description: RAPTOR, which stands for Robust Algorithm (using) Player Tracking (and) On/Off. For all burn-in periods ≥ 7 days, the two simple team metrics outperform RAPTOR and Elo. LeBron is playing the point really, really well. It is derived from two data points - the final score of each game and where each game was played CoverRats allows you to easily compare the Vegas lines with FiveThirtyEight’s RAPTOR and ELO projections. 0. Leonard ranks seventh in estimated plus-minus, seventh in DARKO (a forward-projecting metric), fifth in FiveThirtyEight’s overall RAPTOR, 18th in BBall Index’s LEBRON, and 29th in ESPN’s. com * **ELO** - The ELO rating is a commonly used system to project outcomes from sporting events. Aaron Tavel . md","path":"nba-raptor/README. md","path":"nba-raptor/README. Defensive. For more information, visit FiveThirtyEight. Download this data. As part of a new series at HoopsHype, we are examining who should win the NBA MVP award based on what we can learn from advanced analytics. The motivation for creating this package is articulated in The fivethirtyeight R Package: “Tame Data” Principles for Introductory Statistics and Data Science Courses by Kim, Ismay, and Chunn (2018) published in Volume 11, Issue 1 of the journal “Technology Innovations in Statistics Education”. His. FiveThirtyEight's forecasts and RAPTOR were ubiquitous among online NBA conversations over the last few years, for better or for worse. The St. FiveThirtyEight’s NBA forecast projects the winner of each game and predicts each team's chances of advancing to the playoffs and winning the NBA finals. Toronto has slightly lower odds on. For more information, visit FiveThirtyEight. It is derived from two data points - the final score of each game and where each game was played. 23 game against the Portland Trail Blazers. FiveThirtyEight's Championship. Notes. com * **ELO** - The ELO rating is a commonly used system to project outcomes from sporting events. Christian Wood is one of the main reasons why the Dallas Mavericks might be as good — or better — in 2022-23 than last season. Posted by u/Robotsaur - 6 votes and 6 commentsWe would like to show you a description here but the site won’t allow us. This dataset contains data behind the story Introducing RAPTOR, Our New Metric For The Modern NBA and the interactive The Best NBA Players This Season, According To RAPTOR. For more information, visit FiveThirtyEight. The website, which takes its name from the number of electors in the United States electoral college, [538 1] was founded on March 7, 2008, as a polling. Viewed 66 times 2 I tried all types of imports, and can't get all the data into google sheets. -0. {"payload":{"allShortcutsEnabled":false,"fileTree":{"nba-raptor":{"items":[{"name":"README. Head over to the RAPTOR leaderboard and you’ll find that this is the first time in his career where Robinson ranks plus-2. LeBron. Filter or search to find players. . Last season, amongst players that played at least 2,000 minutes, LeBron James was the 10th-best player with an overall RAPTOR of +4. Raptors 4-2. By Jay Boice. data. Essentially although Raptor is a little more complicated than this, the primary reason why Jakob is rated as the most. Jun 21, 2023. We crush competitor prices on Raptor RVs. — Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) April 25, 2023. Desmond Bane is the most impactful early career player, between years 1-4 (+2. Even cheaper are the league’s ultimate bargains, the GEMS — players who were on pace for at least 4 RAPTOR WAR and a WAR per million dollars spent of at least 3. “The general idea is that the FiveThirtyEight NBA model is based on player ratings, using a system called RAPTOR,” FiveThirtyEight Sports editor Sara Ziegler told Cronkite News. Open-Box Reverend Double Agent W Rosewood Fingerboard Electric. 5 points, 10. +0. This year will be no different, especially for the Most Valuable Player award. How this works: These forecasts are based on 100,000 simulations of the rest of the season. Consistently. A dataframe with 20492 rows representing every player broken out by season and era and 22 variables:The two-time reigning MVP is now a pretty heavy favorite to capture the award for the third consecutive season. Where every player in the NBA stands, according to RAPTOR. 182), suggesting RAPTOR is slightly more prognostic. 2022 FiveThirtyEight Election Forecast. FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis - hard numbers - to tell compelling stories about elections, politics and American society. FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis - hard numbers - to tell compelling stories about elections, politics and American society. Who Won The First Republican Debate? By Holly Fuong, Aaron Bycoffe, Humera Lodhi and Nathaniel Rakich. 36%. Our player-based RAPTOR forecast doesn’t account for wins and losses; it is based entirely on our NBA player projections, which estimate each player’s future performance based on the trajectory of similar NBA players. 152 of 282. The NBA Awards are always controversial. 9 : Boston Celtics 12. 역시 아까 RAPTOR에서 높이 평가되었던 선수들(마일스 터너, 존 콜린스, 프레드 밴블릿, 클린트 카펠라 등)이 높은 위치에 있음을 볼 수 있다. FiveThirtyEight suggests the Nuggets have far more of an advantage, however. “The rotation players for. So Why Do The Advanced Stats Think He Is One? By Jared Dubin. The tendency for FiveThirtyEight to overweight home court advantage is clear here, as the y-intercept is negative for both algorithms. According to FiveThirtyEight analyst Ryan Best, Disney/ABC is no longer supporting FiveThirtyEight's sports division, including all forecasts and presumably the RAPTOR model as well. UPDATED Jun. {"payload":{"allShortcutsEnabled":false,"fileTree":{"nba-raptor":{"items":[{"name":"README. The RAPTOR forecast theoretically does a better job of accounting for these changes, though it's learning by-the-game about the quality of our players. md","contentType":"file"},{"name":"historical. That rival would be the. Top five qualified point guards in the 2019-20 NBA season by assist rate, Pure Point Rating (PPR) and on/off offensive RAPTOR rating, as of Nov. com * **ELO** - The ELO rating is a commonly used system to project outcomes from sporting events. 803. Statistical models by Nate Silver and Jay Boice. For more information, visit FiveThirtyEight. 2 (7th) BPM (Basketball-Reference): +2. 538 introduced their new RAPTOR rating system today. 9. raptor_by_player. It seems to me that FiveThirtyEight’s RAPTOR and Elo algorithms are overly complicated for what they actually deliver: worse predictions than the most basic team metrics. info. The R-squared was slightly higher for RAPTOR (0. Aug 24, 2023. New York last won a championship in 1972-73, having won another three. The similarity score is an index measuring how comparable one player is. Through Sunday’s games, O’Neale ranked 16th 1 in the league in FiveThirtyEight’s RAPTOR WAR metric, posting career highs on both the offensive and defensive side to this point. By Jay Boice. 2026. 8 points above average on defense, ranking in the 65th percentile. Defensively. For more information, visit FiveThirtyEight. See why everyone is coming to Lakeshore RV! Contact Raptor Specialist. FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis - hard numbers - to tell compelling stories about elections, politics and American society. With an overall RAPTOR of -2. But Their Floor Might Be Too Low. So whatever the programmer told the computer to analyze, it did. com * **ELO** - The ELO rating is a commonly used system to project outcomes from sporting events. Check out our latest NBA predictions . 1,416. Ben Hogan, Sam Snead and Bobby Locke won 17 of the 32 majors between 1946 and ‘53. com * **ELO** - The ELO rating is a commonly used system to project outcomes from sporting events. 2k. com * **ELO** - The ELO rating is a commonly used system to project outcomes from sporting events. Trusting The Process Playoff Contenders Title Contenders Trusting The Process Playoff Contenders Title Contenders <40% to make playoffs ≥40% to make playoffs ≥10%. In their simulations, Denver has a 66% chance of advancing to the next round (Phoenix obviously has the other 34%). 3. [FiveThirtyEight] When the 2022-23 NBA season begins next week, our RAPTOR prediction model sees a league with a field of title contenders more wide-open than at any time in recent history. I’m so sorry to the people impacted by this. 66th Street New York, NY 10023. com * **ELO** - The ELO rating is a commonly used system to project outcomes from sporting events. How could player moves reshuffle the NBA’s tiers? Projected records and playoff odds, based on RAPTOR player ratings and expected minutes, will update when a roster is adjusted. Despite leading the league in FiveThirtyEight’s RAPTOR wins above replacement, JokiÄÐ â ¡’s average Game Score comes in just a hair below 26. For more information, visit FiveThirtyEight. For more information, visit FiveThirtyEight. If you look at most advanced metrics, Fred and Pascal are having fairly comparble seasons, whether you look at BPM, WAR, what have you. wiggins the all star. FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis - hard numbers - to tell compelling stories about elections, politics and American society. At SLC Dunk, The Downbeat is the first story of the weekday. For more information, visit FiveThirtyEight. $36. BEST VALUE: Jaden Ivey (+3000) is worth considering at his long odds, though the analytics don’t suggest he is one of the five most impactful. 2022 FiveThirtyEight Election Forecast. The bottom three teams are relegated. 3. RAPTOR is an advanced metric introduced by FiveThirtyEight in 2019, and functions as a smart plus-minus statistic, which takes into account how a player’s team. It is not just Las Vegas that loves the Boston Celtics as a pick to win it all in 2023; evidently, the RAPTOR player rating behind Five ThirtyEight’s 2022-23 NBA predictions page is on board as well with the Celtics strong favorites to win the 2023 NBA Championship at nearly twice the odds of their nearest rival. 5m. At FiveThirtyEight, we use Elo ratings to gauge the strength and weakness of NBA teams each season, with those ratings based on our RAPTOR metric for each player on each team. RAPTOR +/- per 100 WAR; Player Season OFF DEF TOT The metrics pulled included Daily Plus-Minus , Estimated Plus-Minus , LEBRON (BBall-Index), RAPTOR (FiveThirtyEight), Regularized Adjusted Plus-Minus , Player Efficiency Rating (Basketball. FiveThirtyEight's forecasts and RAPTOR were ubiquitous among online NBA conversations over the last few years, for better or for worse. com * **ELO** - The ELO rating is a commonly used system to project outcomes from sporting events. Which rookies would go higher, and which ones would go lower? Surprises up and down the lotteryDefensive statistics can always be a little murky, but Mitchell ranks among the league's worst defensive guards in both RAPTOR, FiveThirtyEight's all-encompassing advanced statistic, and D-LEBRON. RealGM ForumsCBSSports. Almost exactly a year after shipping James Harden to the. RAPTOR, which stands for Robust Algorithm (using) Player Tracking (and) On/Off Ratings, is FiveThirtyEight’s new NBA statistic. Their model is updated after every. FiveThirtyEight. 1,735. He May Even Be Good. com’s LEBRON and third-best on FiveThirtyEight’s RAPTOR. Design and development by Jay Boice, Reuben Fischer-Baum and Julia Wolfe. Professional sports writers and awards voters relied on RAPTOR to analyze performance and make decisions that cost players tens of millions of dollars. Ask Question Asked 8 months ago. $11. Who’s ahead in each governors race. FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis - hard numbers - to tell compelling stories about elections, politics and American society. Apr. Nine Wizards qualify for the RAPTOR wins above replacement leaderboard. Hot Takedown is bringing back one of its favorite segments from Hot Takedown 1. 2. RAPTOR really loves the defense of Brook Lopez, who should be healthy again after missing all but 13 games last regular season. 100% accurately with zero bias. 2. com * **ELO** - The ELO rating is a commonly used system to project outcomes from sporting events. Things may have reached their Iversonian breaking point for Westbrook during a sequence late in L. -4. As part of a new series at HoopsHype, we are examining who should win the NBA MVP award based on what we can learn from advanced analytics. 1 in the NBA in D-LEBRON — a stat that measures defensive impact per 100 possessions — ahead of both. Wins above replacement projections are based on a combination of regular-season and playoff performances. The 76ers won and Embiid had 47 points vs. +1. Elliott Morris to be the editorial director of data analytics for the news division, a post that also oversees FiveThirtyEight. csv contains Elo Ratings for every team in WNBA history on a game-by-game basis. 2022 FiveThirtyEight Election Forecast. こんにちは 以前、NBAでのディフェンス指標についてまとめられた記事を紹介しました。 そして少し時間が空き、この記事を再読してみたのですが、やはり面白い内容だったので、内容をまとめてみようかと思います。 (記事の内容の再構成や補足の情報追加などをしています) ディフェンス指標. The bottom team is automatically relegated, and the second-to-last team will enter a playoff against a team from the lower division to determine if it is relegated. According to FiveThirtyEight’s RAPTOR, another advanced metric that aims to encapsulate a player’s holistic impact, Jokic is 0. An expansion team. 17, 2020. Gobert, who is a three-time winner of the NBA’s Defensive Player of the Year, is one of the main reasons why the Jazz have dominated in the regular season over the past few years. Top 5%. Data and code behind the articles and graphics at FiveThirtyEight - GitHub - fivethirtyeight/data: Data and code behind the articles and graphics at FiveThirtyEight. FiveThirtyEight’s men’s and women’s NCAA Tournament forecasting models calculate the chance of each team reaching each round. He covers the NFL for CBS and the NBA elsewhere. Wins Above Replacement is a statistic that indicates the impact they have on their respective team. nba sports player basketball raptor. Season. Derrick White Doesn’t Produce Like NBA Superstars. Mar. A different Raptor . FiveThirtyEight’s 2019-20 NBA forecast model, code-named RAPTOR, gives the Heat a 73 percent chance of winning the Finals. Search. Aug 24, 2023. 2023 MLB Predictions. The Raptors are merely 55 percent favorites in the series, at least based on our current understanding (as of early Wednesday morning) of the injury prognosis for Durant and Cousins. Nate Silver founded and was the editor in chief of FiveThirtyEight. The favorite? The Boston Celtics at 21%, even though they sported a 34-25 record and 10 teams in the league boasted. election-forecasts- 2022. com * **ELO** - The ELO rating is a commonly used system to project outcomes from sporting events. Posts. PREDATOR includes a lot of fancy predictors, including height, weight, draft position, true shooting %, usage %, 3 point frequency, FT frequency, assist %, turnover %, rebound %, block %, steal %. He currently leads the NBA in blocks per 36 minutes and points created per 100 possessions, and he’s the Knicks’ best player by a comfortable margin in RAPTOR, FiveThirtyEight’s new measure. The Goose Egg Can Fix It. Summary. The FiveThirtyEight model gave the Celtics an 80% chance to win the series, while ESPN BPI gave them an 86% chance. 0 points per 100. How could player moves reshuffle the NBA’s tiers? Projected records and playoff odds, based on RAPTOR player ratings and expected minutes, will update when a roster is adjusted. ABC News. Source When the 2022-23 NBA season begins next week, our RAPTOR prediction model sees a league with a field of title contenders more wide-open. 248: 4: RAPM (nbashotcharts. We'll recommend top publications based on the topics you select. Nov. Source: The Best NBA Players, According To RAPTOR | FiveThirtyEight. frame) with 32055 rows and 24 columns. It is derived from two data points - the final score of each game and where each game was played CoverRats allows you to easily compare the Vegas lines with FiveThirtyEight’s RAPTOR and ELO projections. It seems to me that FiveThirtyEight’s RAPTOR and Elo algorithms are overly complicated for what they actually deliver: worse predictions than the most basic team metrics. . But that changes this year. Online. Filter or search to find players. Some teams have existed less than 50 years. The statistical analysis site created a system that measures every player and team, projecting their statistics out over the course of the season. I suspect their models are badly overfit. The motivation for creating this package is articulated in The fivethirtyeight R Package: “Tame Data” Principles for Introductory Statistics and Data Science Courses by Kim, Ismay, and Chunn (2018) published in Volume 11, Issue 1 of the journal “Technology Innovations in Statistics Education”. It's like WAR in baseball--all the players get a "wins above replacement" score. 7, 2022. RealGM ForumsObviously a guy like Jokic bends that rule, but he's clearly an exception and not the rule. (1) Open Box: $967. LeBron is playing the point really, really well. Payton, Thybulle and Caruso, in that order. Top Politics Stories Today. com * **ELO** - The ELO rating is a commonly used system to project outcomes from sporting events. The similarity score is an index measuring how comparable one player is to another, scaled such that a score of zero is average similarity and 100 is the highest possible degree of similarity. 35. The Twins’ Magical Run Will Likely Go Through The Yankees. “The general idea is that the FiveThirtyEight NBA model is based on player ratings, using a system called RAPTOR,” FiveThirtyEight Sports editor Sara Ziegler told Cronkite News. Jared Dubin@JADubin5. 9 : Philadelphia 76ers 14. FiveThirtyEight's rankings are a lot higher on Burks and Quickley and lower on Obi and RJ than most on the sub appear to be. com. com * **ELO** - The ELO rating is a commonly used system to project outcomes from sporting events. 1 rebounds, 6. The similarity score is an index measuring how comparable one player is to another, scaled such that a score of zero is average similarity and 100 is the highest possible degree of similarity. Live updating forecasts and dashboards. Dataset with 41 projects 7 files 7 tables. The Model. Used Kramer Pacer. 0). In the cases of EPM and RAPTOR, the figures also are by far the best of Gordon’s career to date. For any game between two teams (A and B) with certain pregame Elo ratings, the odds of Team A winning are: Pr(A) = 1 10−EloDiff 400 + 1 P r ( A) = 1 10 − E l o D i f f 400 + 1. Download this data. It is derived from two data points - the final score of each game and where each game was played CoverRats allows you to easily compare the Vegas lines with FiveThirtyEight’s RAPTOR and ELO projections. RAPTOR incorporates all of those and has a little additional colour that tends to tip scales in favour of on-ball. We can pencil in 11 spots accounted for from players under contract (barring trade), and two more between their draft picks and any undrafted free agents. Forecast from. Jun. Filed under NBA. Boston had struggled offensively in its season opener, scoring only 91. The top four teams qualify for next season’s UEFA Champions League. And he’s tied for 24th, with DeMar DeRozan, among all players in FiveThirtyEight’s Offensive RAPTOR (4. . Last season, the two-time All-Star further eleva…Forecast: How this works ». FiveThirtyEight’s ELO forecast currently projects the Jazz to end with the 6th best record in the NBA and to have the same odds at winning the Championship as the Golden State Warriors. Where Republicans Who Deny The 2020 Election Results Are On The Ballot — And Where They Could Win. They’ve also performed at a level that has largely justified the allocation of playing time by new coach Wes Unseld Jr. It is derived from two data points - the final score of each game and where each game was played CoverRats allows you to easily compare the Vegas lines with FiveThirtyEight’s RAPTOR and ELO projections. Nicklaus, Arnold Palmer, Gary Player, Lee Trevino and Tom Watson bit off whole chunks of the sport in the. While it’s easy to think of 1997-1998 where Utah came the closest to winning the championship, RAPTOR believes the best Utah team was in 1996-1997, the. FiveThirtyEight 47 W. com, Forbes, sportsmediawatch. RAPTOR +/- per 100 WAR; Player Season OFF DEF TOTThe metrics pulled included Daily Plus-Minus , Estimated Plus-Minus , LEBRON (BBall-Index), RAPTOR (FiveThirtyEight), Regularized Adjusted Plus-Minus , Player Efficiency Rating (Basketball. For more information, visit FiveThirtyEight. According to FiveThirtyEight’s RAPTOR, another advanced metric that aims to encapsulate a player’s holistic impact, Jokic is 0. Top Politics Stories Today. Created Jul 15, 2010. district-urbanization-index- 2022. com: 4. Filed under NBA. Nov. Current Knicks Player Ratings per FiveThirtyEight's RAPTOR. 9. He reached 36. 94. Toronto has slightly lower odds on. Investigating the NBA’s Obsession With The Cheesecake Factory. 107. For more information, visit FiveThirtyEight. Nate Silver, t…RAPTOR, FiveThirtyEight’s new NBA statistic, stands for Robust Algorithm (using) Player Tracking (and) On/Off Ratings. 8. com * **ELO** - The ELO rating is a commonly used system to project outcomes from sporting events. FiveThirtyEight editor-in-chief Nate Silver joined Neil and Sara on stage to discuss how our player rating metric, RAPTOR, has performed so far this NBA season. This is the first time all of these information sources have been combined publicly in a single metric. Best RAPTOR defensive plus/minus ratings for NBA guards* with at least 15,000 minutes played since 1976-77, including regular season and playoffs. Open-Box Fender California Palomino Vintage Acoustic-Electric Guitar. 8, 2022. The Best NBA Players This Season, According To RAPTOR Our ratings, updated daily, use play-by-play and player-tracking data to calculate each player’s individual plus-minus measurements and wins. Jokic had 24 points. I used FiveThirtyEight’s new predictive. 005) and a little too steep for ELO (1. You can find a team's total RAPTOR score by simply summing the RAPTOR score of each of the players and use that to compare the teams. 1,021. Raiders. (1) Open Box: $351. The blog is run by writer and statistician. Online. Ditto Paul George and Kawhi Leonard of the Clippers ranking among this season’s best duos. As of April 8, the Raptors have a 33 percent chance of making the 2023 NBA Playoffs, according to FiveThirtyEight's projections. Design and development by Jay Boice. The Best NBA Players, According To RAPTOR | FiveThirtyEight; 14. Which NBA players have led the league in all-time points scored? 16. Nate Silver founded and was the editor in chief of FiveThirtyEight. 8m. Season. 19, 2023. 064). Interactives. 28 and hit an Elo rating of 1712 — the highest in franchise history. 0 or better in both Box. 12. Modified 8 months ago. It is derived from two data points - the final score of each game and where each game was played CoverRats allows you to easily compare the Vegas lines with FiveThirtyEight’s RAPTOR and ELO projections. Washington Wizards +3. RAPTOR is dead. In the latter case, Curry outplaying projections by 7. Used Condition. The Ceiling For Jayson Tatum And Jaylen Brown Is High Enough. The similarity score is an index measuring how comparable one player is to another, scaled such that a score of zero is average similarity and 100 is the. +1. (1) Open Box: $791. In this conversation. 20. How this works: These forecasts are based on 50,000 simulations of the rest of the season. . Nov. Additional contributions by Neil Paine. “The rotation players for. Statistical model by Nate Silver. Raptors NBA Playoff odds. NBA Straw Poll : Helps get a feel for where voters may be leaning. Professional sports writers and awards voters relied on RAPTOR to analyze performance and make decisions that cost players tens of millions of dollars.